Daily Brief Archive: July 4, 2026 — U.S. & Hong Kong Stock Analysis
Free previewU.S. Markets
- Pre-holiday Thursday: S&P -0.1%, Nasdaq -1.7% as chip stocks saw broad profit-taking
- Memory bloodbath: Micron -21% and SanDisk -22% on the week — glut fears plus an antitrust suit
- Tesla Q2 deliveries hit 480K (+25% YoY), crushing estimates — stock fell 7.5% anyway; sell the news
- Oracle -42% on the month, near 52w lows: $70B FY27 capex plus a planned $40B raise
- Markets closed Friday for July 4th; first post-holiday focus is SpaceX joining the Nasdaq-100
Hong Kong
- Hang Seng +1.3% Friday, HS Tech +1.0%; southbound flows bought a net HK$4.5B
- Robotics ripped: UBTECH +17.6%, Estun +33%, Horizon Robotics +9.1%
- BYD +7.4%: June sales at 403K units with overseas volume up 95% YoY — the new growth engine
- Alibaba loiters near 52-week lows around HK$94, sitting out the market bounce
- High-yield SOEs stay oversold: China Mobile RSI 19.8, CCB RSI 23.4, both yielding 5%+
Today's Watchlist
- Mon 7/7: SpaceX officially joins the Nasdaq-100 — index funds become forced buyers
- Tesla earnings 7/22: deliveries are in the books; margins and ASPs are the only verdict left
- Memory bull-bear duel: BofA lifts SanDisk target to $2,500 vs. Samsung/Hynix supply adds
- Oracle's $134.6 52-week low is the AI-faith litmus test — a break spreads the fear
- HK robotics is running hot: Estun +33% in a day at RSI 71 — chase only with a stop
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