Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Position Historyprofitable since 2026-07-07
- 2026-07-02LongHK$22.6 → open → HK$31.3+38.50%
Brief History (13 issues)
Continue holding (maintaining long). Three supports: the July 30 Pengcheng event is a defined near-term catalyst; southbound money added on a broadly down day, indicating institutions are already positioned; and bullish moving-average alignment with +44.2% monthly momentum confirms the trend. The HK$27.5 stop sits roughly one ATR above the 20-day (HK$26.26), respecting both the 4.3% daily range and moving-average support. The HK$35.0 target corresponds to the 200-day (HK$35.05), the natural resistance for a recovery move, implying about 12% upside. The risk is RSI7 at 82.6 being severely overbought into a 'sell the news' type event — hence a conservative target at the 200-day rather than the 52-week high.
Position: +1.7% and repairing — the YU7 ramp plus the phone-and-car twin engine; not expensive at -55% off the high, hold
A +5.2% weekly repair with the YU7 ramp underway — the cars-plus-phones dual thesis holds, stay long
Friday -2.25% to HK$26.88, giving back a slice of a +6.6% week. Up 21.3% since entry — still the steadiest tech position on the book. Stay long.
Down 0.3% this morning at HK$27.42 — the steadiest tech position on a stormy day, +8.7% on the week; holding
Up 1.0% this morning at HK$26.12, momentum extending after an +11.1% week; holding
Up 0.8% this morning at HK$26.04 with momentum intact after an 11.8% week — the lock-up-storm survivor rides on; holding
Up 3.4%, +12.4% on the week — a tech survivor of the unlock storm; the 50-day (HK$27.40) test nears, holding
Up 1.9%, +10.9% on the week — a strong branch of the tech repair; the 50-day (HK$27.40) is the next test
Up 1.5%, firm above the 20-day (HK$24) as the tech repair rolls on; eyeing the 50-day (HK$27.50)
+2.5% with the internet repair; long +6%, above the 20-day and eyeing HK$27.8
+0.4%, long +3.5%; RSI 37.9 after a 41% down year, EV/AIoT option, hold
Oversold + cheap + first bounce on volume: decent odds. Admit error below HK$20.5 (under the round number).