Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Position Historyprofitable since 2026-07-22
- 2026-07-04LongHK$30.72 → open → HK$32.28+5.08%
Brief History (13 issues)
Down 0.49% with a neutral RSI of 54.6, holding above the 20-day. Gold and copper prices underpin resource names; 12 analysts target HK$50.95 for 57.8% upside at a very strong 1.04 rating — continue holding
Position: +0.3% after a +10.8% week — gold at $4,119 and copper near record territory powering a twin-metal engine at 12.7x earnings, hold
Existing long stays on: commodity prices and earnings drive in tandem while the chart just reclaimed the 20-day. Add through HK$32.1 (SMA50), stop HK$28.9 (one ATR below the 20-day), target the 200-day at HK$35.2
Friday -4.8% to HK$29.38 — day two of the gold-copper recovery stress test. A fresh stop drawn at HK$27.5: hold it and we stay long, lose it and we leave.
Down 4.1% this morning at HK$29.60 as gold-copper followed the precious-metals rout — the repair rally's first stress test; holding
Up 0.1% this morning at HK$30.24, consolidating high in the gold-copper repair leg; holding
Up 3.3% this morning at HK$30.50 — stage three of the gold-copper repair flips the position into the green; holding
Up 2.0% to the HK$30 round number, day two of the gold-copper repair with the drawdown narrowed to ~-1% — holding
Up 1.4% in repair mode — gold steadied and copper carries the case; safe distance to the HK$28 stop restored, holding
Down 2.2% as the rate trade hit gold; copper is carrying the gold-copper thesis — a break of HK$28 means a discipline exit
-1.1%, long -2.9%; the gold-copper case stands, one step under the 20-day — watching
Gold-copper -3.3%, long -1.8%; EPS +72% at 12.2x, held retest, hold
A +9% volume bounce: gold-copper double play with EPS +72% at 12.4x — not expensive