Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (2 issues)
Maintaining neutral (staying flat; no new position). RSI7 at 15.6 sets up a technical bounce, but all three moving averages are lost and the trend structure is destroyed — and the cause is a management-guided multi-quarter structural drag (SiP migration into early 2027 plus soft memory demand) rather than sentiment or a one-off. Declines of that kind heal with time, not price. With ATR at 14.6% of spot, any stop is noise-stopped and the risk/reward fails. Buying here is catching a knife against disclosed bad news; shorting after a single-day 24.7% drop is chasing from a poor location. Stay flat pending evidence the migration drag is inflecting, or a verifiable base built below $40.
Gave back 2.4% after the multi-year NVIDIA advanced-packaging deal landed — the story is real but priced; wait for the pullback