Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Position History1/1 closed trades won · profitable since 2026-07-07
- 2026-07-02Short$35.52 → closed $30.052026-07-22+15.40%
Brief History (11 issues)
Three reasons to cover: 7/27 event risk, squeeze fuel from 27% short interest, and a sentiment turn as the sell side raises in unison. The bear case (dilutive financing, tenant concentration) isn't disproven — the odds just no longer favor the short
Trend and thesis still point down, but RSI 26.4 plus 27% short interest into earnings makes the risk-reward asymmetric; a Nebius-style non-dilutive financing headline is a reversal button that can be pressed any day
Down 8.9% to $26.44 — this short is the neocloud unwind's direct beneficiary; trailing stop $32→$30, staying short
A 2.0% snap to $29.03 stays under the $32 trailing stop — trend unbroken, staying short
Down 7.4% to $28.84 — the short keeps stacking; trailing stop lowered $34→$32, staying short
Down 3.5% as the bounce died and the downtrend resumed; the short sits around +17%, trailing stop stays $34 — staying short
Up 2.7% riding MARA's AI-compute story; the $34 trailing stop hangs right overhead — don't hand the short's profits back to storytime
A feeble 2.4% bounce against a -12.4% week; the short sits on fat gains — trailing stop stays $34, staying short
-8.3%, short +14%; the best hedge on the AI-datacenter ebb — trail the stop to $34
AI datacenter +1.3%, short +5.7%; down 20% on the month, still in a downtrend, hold short
AI datacenter small cap under sector pressure, -21% on the week