Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (6 issues)
A +10.3% bounce inside a -25.7% month — the direct-to-device story remains high-voltage with no right-side signal yet
Up 5.07% to $57.80, a dead-cat bounce after a 22% weekly drubbing. Convert deal, launch slip to 2027, rocket-company M&A chatter — three grenades still smoking. A bounce is not a reversal. Not touching it.
Financing, delay and buyout speculation stack three uncertainties, each needing time to digest. The triple-channel resonance means peak attention — and attention plus uncertainty equals volatility, not odds.
Down 3.65% to $66.31, mystery solved: a $1B convertible raise sparked dilution panic and 5.8x WSB mentions of fury — pre-launch raises are routine, and panic signposts the opportunity zone, but don't jump the gun
Down 7.8% to $67.58 while WSB mentions exploded 8x — space names got caught in the geopolitical crossfire; August's triple BlueBird launch and 8/10 earnings are the next stop — watchlist, not knife-catch
Down 1.4% after a -24% month, yet WSB mentions exploded (19→48) — retail is catching the satellite knife; watch the 200-day first