Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Position Historyprofitable since 2026-07-10
- 2026-07-09Long$388.69 → open → $380.91-2.00%
Brief History (10 issues)
Down just 0.6% on a day semis collapsed, far more resilient than the memory chain. Custom ASIC and networking tie it to hyperscaler in-house silicon; 55 analysts target $528.60 for 38.8% upside — continue holding
Position: -1.1%, hovering under the 50-day with 53 analysts seeing +35% — the AI ASIC thesis is intact, hold
Consolidating 5.6% lower under the 50-day, yet 53 analysts still see 37% upside — the custom-AI-silicon thesis absorbs the dip, hold
Down 0.97% to $370.8 and -6.9% on the week — all sector beta, nothing custom-silicon specific. 3.6% above the $358 stop; stay long above the line.
Down 5.0% to $374.45 in the sector sweep, 4.4% above the $358 stop — the custom-silicon story is fine, the sector beta isn't; above the line, holding
Up 1.3% to $394.28 while memory burned — custom silicon sits on the arms-dealer side with NVIDIA; stop $358, holding
Down 4.0% to $384.05 on the sector hit; the custom-silicon story is intact — stop now set at $358 under the 200-day, holding
Down 0.3%, consolidating at $400 with the position +2.9% in three days; the Apple deal and META's custom-chip wave are both tailwinds — holding
Up 3.2% through $400 a day after entry; the Apple deal's repricing has only started — past the 50-day ($406), $440 is next
New long: the 200-day survived a month-long test, the Apple deal is a fundamentals-changing catalyst rather than a sentiment blip, and doubled WSB attention supplies follow-through flow. Stop $358 (under the 200-day); first target the $440 prior-high zone beyond a reclaimed 50-day.