Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (3 issues)
Down 11.9% on 3.3x volume, cashing in Wednesday's after-hours drubbing — a Q2 revenue beat couldn't outrun lockup supply and the valuation math. Still 40% off the 52-week high, barely holding the 20/50-day around 209-210. Twelve analysts see 27% upside, but the knife is only halfway down. Sidelines.
Spiked 11.63% front-running earnings as WSB mentions exploded from 1 to 86 in 24 hours, then Q2 revenue of $210M beat estimates yet shares cratered ~15% after hours on lockup expirations and a 227x P/E nobody wants to underwrite; a 12.8% daily-volatility meat grinder — watching from the sidelines
AMD's Helios adopting its chips, a CrowdStrike deal, and a squeeze on 16.9% short interest drove +23.2% on the week — an AI-chip new listing in riot mode; the volatility is the risk, sidelines