Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (8 issues)
Up 1.02% at $402.54 with RSI at 67.5. Gold has dual support from CPI still running above target at a consensus 3.4% and from Hormuz geopolitical risk.
Up 2.26% to 398.47 with RSI at 65.3 and RSI(7) overbought at 79.3 after a 7.5% week, as July payrolls falling 23,000 lifted rate-cut expectations and drove gold to a seven-week high.
Essentially flat at +0.01% with RSI at 60.1 on 1.52x volume; rising Treasury yields should pressure gold, yet it held the 50-day at 382.54, indicating safe-haven demand rising in parallel.
The gold ETF, up 4.1% as haven demand and rate-cut expectations lift bullion, RSI 60.1 turning up — a breakout to follow short-term.
Gold pulled back 2% on light volume from $4,119 — the twin props of oil-driven inflation and geopolitical hedging stand; dips are allocation windows
Down 2.0% to $364.96 in a broad precious-metals dump — gold falling on a risk-off day means liquidity squeeze again, not a failed hedge
Flat at $372.35, gold steadying on the cool CPI as last week's liquidity distortion mends
Down 2.6% to $367.13 on a war-escalation day — in a liquidity squeeze even gold becomes an ATM; short-term signals are distorted