Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Position History1/1 closed trades won · profitable since 2026-07-04
- 2026-07-02Short$43.32 → closed $38.822026-07-04+10.39%
Brief History (5 issues)
Up 2.5% on 2x volume and 20.1% on the week as the BTC-miner-turned-AI-compute story reheats; still capped under the 50-day at 45.3 and the 200-day at 47.2. Seventeen analysts see 89% upside — let it reclaim 47 before you talk about chasing.
Down 3.47% to $33.62, an intraday 7% bounce fully faded. The $9.7B Microsoft contract is intact — the market is repricing the business model, not the order book. The earlier exit at +10.4% was right; watching the re-rate play out from the sidelines.
Down 9.0% to $34.83, -42% on the month as the neocloud trio falls together — the +141% consensus target is a map of the last era; sidelines
A stock down 40% in a month can bounce violently, but Meta's entry is structural, not sentimental — it takes time to digest. If you play the bounce, size it like a lottery ticket; below $32 the market is pricing 'failed pivot.'
Neocloud casualty (-30% month); same logic as CRWV — avoid