Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (5 issues)
Down 0.6%, scraping along the 52-week low at 411.4 — off 25.2% in a month. RSI 30.8 is oversold, but the 200-day looms at 505 and ADX 31 says the downtrend is still working. HVAC headwinds haven't changed; 21.2% Street upside doesn't catch falling knives. Sidelines.
Down 2.30% and closing in on the 52-week low of 411.4 after a 23.6% monthly rout below every moving average, RSI oversold at 31.3. 20 analysts see 20% upside, but oversold can get more oversold with HVAC demand souring—sidelines.
Down 3.75% with RSI at 30.2 oversold, below every moving average and 2.9% from its 52-week low; 20 analysts see $507.05, 19.8% above spot, but oversold inside a downtrend is not a buy case.
Down 2.49% with RSI oversold at 31.7 after a 23.0% month, just 5.9% above its 52-week low; HVAC demand tracks a soft residential market with no inflection. Sidelines.
Up 4.6% but down 24.1% on the month with RSI oversold at 29.6, closing on the $411.40 low as HVAC demand tracks a soft residential market; sidelines.