Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Position History0/1 closed trades won · profitable since 2026-07-24
- 2026-07-22Long$216.92 → closed $169.692026-07-29-21.77%
Brief History (9 issues)
Down 9.68% through both the 20- and 50-day. Its asset-light partnership model reads to the market as cost of capital exceeding return on capital, with $20–25bn of capex overhead. The market wants evidence, not narrative — close the position
Position: NVIDIA's 9.3% stake and $2B investment, the $1B+ Reflection AI contract, and a $775M GPU-collateralized loan defusing dilution fears — three catalysts behind a +16% week, hold
The Nvidia endorsement upgrades the story's weight class, but the $221/225 average ceiling is unbroken: scale in on a $205-218 retest, stop $188 (under the prior low), add through $225 toward the $270 consensus
Policy (the data-center ban), funding (capex) and positioning (28.6% short) are all moving violently at once — no directional signal survives bookkeeping. Wait for one variable to land first.
Flat, coiling under the 50-day ($220); the AI-cloud upstart needs that reclaim before there's a right-side story
Up 10.9% as the AI-cloud upstart bounced; +149% YTD against a -10% month — a surfboard for the high-beta repair trade
-8.4%, neocloud -24% on the week; even +444% revenue can't stop a de-rate — wait
-1.2%, neocloud -15% week; revenue +444% but below the 20-day, sidelines
The negative is structural (business model questioned), not one-off, and RSI isn't oversold — no rush to catch it. Watch whether $200 holds; next support $180.