Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (4 issues)
Up 3.7% on the crude spike, but geopolitics-driven oil fades as fast as it flares — don't chase war tape
+5.9%, a top tanker-attack beneficiary; Buffett's floor plus geopolitical premium — no trend yet
RSI 30.8, Buffett's stake as floor vs. crude -23% in three months — sidelines
A +2% oversold bounce at RSI 31 — Buffett's stake as psychological floor vs. crude down 24% in three months