Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (3 issues)
Upside +16-25% versus downside -16% looks like acceptable odds, but the decider is private information at a negotiating table where retail holds the worst seat; with RSI 75 and consensus targets below spot, the margin of safety is negative
Up 2.2% to $56.73, 6.6% below the $60.50 bid — the narrowing spread says the market believes, but into the 7/20 board meeting that 6.6% stays a professionals' chip; sidelines
All three endings — accept, bump, or bust — are priced by people with better information; chasing at RSI 80 earns the tail and owns the gap.