Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Position History1/1 closed trades won · profitable since 2026-07-29
- 2026-07-24Long$209.16 → closed $223.032026-08-08+6.63%
Brief History (7 issues)
Down 0.10% near its 52-week high with RSI at 75.9 and RSI(7) at 82.4 deeply overbought, and consensus upside down to 6.2%. Taking profits and closing — both valuation and position have run out of cushion.
Up 0.42% into fresh 52-week-high territory against a weak tape, but RSI at 76.4 is deeply overbought with consensus upside of just 6.1%. Holding, not adding.
At a 52-week high, but RSI 76 is overbought and consensus upside is only ~7% — hold, chase with care; defense orders support it.
Up 0.59% near the $221.34 high, though RSI at 72.5 is overbought and consensus upside has narrowed to 8.7%. Holding, not adding.
RSI at 71.5 hugging the $221.34 high, with defense backlog insulated from tech volatility — though consensus upside has narrowed to 9.3%. Holding, not adding.
Continue holding (maintaining long), without adding. The case for holding is an intact trend (bullish moving-average alignment), low volatility (ATR just 2.6%) and demand insulated from the AI capex cycle — an effective stabilizer while technology de-grosses. The case against adding is RSI at 77.4 and only 6.9% to consensus targets, leaving asymmetric risk/reward. The $204 stop sits below the prior $205 breakout area, about 2.5 ATR under spot and above secondary support near the 20-day ($199.22); losing $204 would mean the breakout failed. The $234 target matches the $233.73 consensus for 7.1% upside.
Beat-and-raise, record backlog, 2.5% from the high, dual-channel confirmation — a textbook breakout structure. RSI 71 is the only blemish, solved by adding on the retest rather than chasing