Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Position History1/1 closed trades won · profitable since 2026-07-24
- 2026-07-22Long$25.5 → closed $28.452026-07-29+11.57%
Brief History (3 issues)
Down 4.56% and 13% below the 50-day, 14% below the 200-day, with a 1.98 rating among the weakest in coverage. The AI server narrative cools with the hardware chain; trend and fundamentals both weak — close the position
Position: preliminary Q4 gross-margin guide of 15-17% (nearly doubled), $60B+ of new orders, and the SpaceXAI gigawatt data-center build — up 17.6% on the week, hold; the convert dilution is the buried risk
Scale in on a $27-29 pullback after the gap, don't chase the opening spike; stop at $24.9 (below the regular-session close), first target the $33 moving-average cluster, then the $36 consensus. The 8/11 full report is the defining event risk