Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (23 issues)
Up 0.70% to 777.88, just 0.2% shy of the 779.37 all-time zone at the 99th percentile of range, comfortably above the 20-day (754.54) and 50-day (748.48). Benign CPI and PPI dragged September hike odds down to ~35%; in Friday's data vacuum the only landmine left is profit-taking. RSI 67.4 runs warm and the high came on shrinking volume (0.72 RVOL) — poor risk/reward for fresh chasing. WSB rank #2 with mentions climbing 341→449: retail is frothy. At record altitude with hot sentiment, wait for a 20-day retest before adding.
The S&P 500 ETF inched up 0.25% to 772.49, closing near records after the in-line July CPI, less than 1% below its 52-week high of 776.85. RSI at 64.4 is firm without being overbought, and price holds above all major SMAs. With rate-hike fears easing and AI earnings strong, the short-term trend is healthy; a pullback toward the 20-day SMA (753.19) offers a better reference point. It also ranks #3 on WSB mentions, keeping retail attention elevated.
Down 0.32% with RSI at 63.3, above every moving average and within 1% of its 52-week high. Today's 08:30 CPI is the week's single largest variable.
Down 0.03% at $773.03, hugging the 52-week high of $776.85 with RSI at 65.7. Wednesday's CPI print, consensus 3.4%, is the pivotal near-term variable.
Up 0.61% to 773.26 with RSI firm at 66.0, just 0.5% below the $776.85 high, as the S&P's 7,757.64 marked a record close capping its strongest week since April; the trend is intact.
Down 0.16% with RSI still firm at 63.7, just 1.1% below the $776.85 high; the S&P ended its record streak with only a mild decline, leaving the trend structure intact.
The S&P 500 ETF, roughly flat today, 10% above the SMA200, RSI 64.7. A healthy index trend — AI leaders diverge but the index holds steady.
Up 1.80% to 771.33, printing a fresh 52-week high of 773.41 with RSI firm at 66.0, as the S&P's 7,736.52 marked its first record close in two months; the trend is intact.
Up 1.42% to 757.67, just 0.4% from the 760.40 high with a healthy RSI of 59.5 — driven by Iran de-escalation plus megacap earnings, with the trend intact.
Up 0.24% with a neutral RSI of 47.1. Index-level calm masks violent internal dispersion — the Dow rose 0.93% while the Nasdaq fell 0.63%, a rotation concealed by cap-weighting
The S&P slipped 1.2% back under its 50-day — earnings double-crash, oil through $100, FOMC ahead; treat it as range-bound with $715 the bulls' line
Up 0.8% to 748, snapping a three-day slide; with 407 companies reporting and the Fed in blackout, watch from the range top
Down 0.99% to $743.29 on a day when 8 of 11 sectors rose — the carnage is confined to AI hardware, and defensives are keeping the index respectable
Down 0.5% to $750.72 — the AI-infrastructure rout was offset by defensives and pharma; a calm index hiding a bleeding tape
Up 0.4% to $754.81, pressing record highs again — the cool-CPI-plus-bank-earnings combo that even IBM's crash couldn't stop
Down 0.8% to $749.17 — defensives held the index up; tonight's CPI plus the megabank prints referee the next move
Up 0.4%, half a step from records — but 9 of 11 sectors fell; breadth this narrow means AI megacaps hold up the sky alone
Up 0.8%, a step from record highs with chips carrying the baton; $740 (the 20/50-day band) is retest support
Down 0.3%, holding the 20-day; hike odds and oil dominate near term — caution below $740
-0.5% off the highs; the 20-day ($741) is first support — the chip drag hasn't hurt structure
+0.9% into record territory above the 20-day ($741); a $738 retest is the dip-buy
Pre-holiday drift above the 20-day ($741); the $737 50-day retest is the dip-buy spot
Tight consolidation above the 50-day ($737); that retest is the dip-buy spot