Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (14 issues)
Up 0.24% with a neutral RSI of 47.1. Index-level calm masks violent internal dispersion — the Dow rose 0.93% while the Nasdaq fell 0.63%, a rotation concealed by cap-weighting
The S&P slipped 1.2% back under its 50-day — earnings double-crash, oil through $100, FOMC ahead; treat it as range-bound with $715 the bulls' line
Up 0.8% to 748, snapping a three-day slide; with 407 companies reporting and the Fed in blackout, watch from the range top
Down 0.99% to $743.29 on a day when 8 of 11 sectors rose — the carnage is confined to AI hardware, and defensives are keeping the index respectable
Down 0.5% to $750.72 — the AI-infrastructure rout was offset by defensives and pharma; a calm index hiding a bleeding tape
Up 0.4% to $754.81, pressing record highs again — the cool-CPI-plus-bank-earnings combo that even IBM's crash couldn't stop
Down 0.8% to $749.17 — defensives held the index up; tonight's CPI plus the megabank prints referee the next move
Up 0.4%, half a step from records — but 9 of 11 sectors fell; breadth this narrow means AI megacaps hold up the sky alone
Up 0.8%, a step from record highs with chips carrying the baton; $740 (the 20/50-day band) is retest support
Down 0.3%, holding the 20-day; hike odds and oil dominate near term — caution below $740
-0.5% off the highs; the 20-day ($741) is first support — the chip drag hasn't hurt structure
+0.9% into record territory above the 20-day ($741); a $738 retest is the dip-buy
Pre-holiday drift above the 20-day ($741); the $737 50-day retest is the dip-buy spot
Tight consolidation above the 50-day ($737); that retest is the dip-buy spot