Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (3 issues)
Day one after an earnings gap through every moving average is no place to catch knives: yesterday's neutral call kept us flat through the -16.49% hit — stay flat. Only if the stock stabilizes on fading volume near the $120 round number (~1.2x ATR below spot) does a tactical oversold bounce off the 18.7 7-day RSI become worth playing, targeting the SMA200 at $136.7 on the gap's lower edge, stop at $114 (1x ATR under the base). Don't chase the bounce; don't argue with a breakdown.
The -4.24% drop is pre-earnings de-risking ahead of the FY26 Q4 report on 8/13 — a pure coin-flip event; RSI 53 still holds above all three moving averages and 25 analysts see 13.1% upside, but betting on a print isn't a strategy — staying neutral
Down 2.57% yet still 2.6% from its 52-week high, RSI a firm 65.1 after a 14.5% month on 1.97x volume; 25 analysts leave 8.3% of upside. Multi-channel overlap is a strong signal but the location is elevated — wait for a pullback.