Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (4 issues)
Up 1.34% with RSI at 55.1 and a 16.7% monthly gain — the strongest of any ETF here. Collapsed Hormuz talks pushed Brent toward $88, but the premium rests on a geopolitical stalemate that a diplomatic breakthrough would rapidly unwind.
Up 8.4% to $117.79, the direct beneficiary of Iran's 'unnavigable' Hormuz call — geopolitical premium arrives fast and leaves faster; chasing it is betting on war bulletins
Up 3.0% as the ceasefire collapse lit the fuse, on 3.1x volume; chasing war tape means buying geopolitical headlines
+4.4% straight off the tanker attack, WTI at $70.4; the premium's legs depend on the talks