Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (4 issues)
Down 0.46% with RSI at 56.2 as hopes of reopening the Strait of Hormuz kept crude falling; energy is under pressure yet still up 9.9% on the month.
Up 3.0% to $56.74 as energy's geopolitical-hedge value shows — a small sleeve is insurance, not speculation
Up 1.8% on crude's 6% spike, back above the 20-day; the geopolitical premium's mileage depends on Iran
+2.8% on the Hormuz risk premium, reclaiming the 20-day; oil volatility is rising