Methodology: each issue's direction is a live signal — long/short opens or holds a position, neutral means flat, and every direction change opens, flips, or closes it. Returns are direction-aware (a short gains when the price falls) and compound across positions from first observation to the latest issue. "Price move" is the stock's own raw change, shown separately. Neither represents actual portfolio performance.
Brief History (21 issues)
Up 1.9%, reclaiming the 200-day at 41.2 with the full MA stack back underfoot as the take-private story—bids 'well above market'—keeps simmering. 19 analysts see 28% upside; trend repair plus a free M&A option. Holding.
A modest -1.09% breather while holding above the 20- and 50-day lines: guidance raised twice this year post-Q2, management confirms take-private interest at prices 'materially higher' than the market, and 19 analysts see 31% upside—staying long.
Up 0.34% with RSI at a healthy 60.1, perched 0.3% above the pivotal 200-day; 19 analysts leave 29.1% of upside on steady environmental-services cash flow — position maintained.
Down 0.34% with RSI at 59.3, sitting a hair below the 200-day at $41.23; 19 analysts see $53.42, 29.7% above spot — position maintained.
Down 0.55% with RSI healthy at 60.5 and a $53.08 consensus target implying 28.5% upside, on predictable contracted cash flow. Maintaining the long.
Up 0.87% against a weak tape with RSI at 62.3 holding above the 200-day at $41.27, on predictable contracted cash flow. Maintaining the long.
The environmental-services name dipped modestly, ~27% consensus upside — hold. Strongly defensive; the pullback doesn't break the mid-term trend.
Up 0.14% with RSI at 67.7 holding above the 200-day at $41.31, on predictable contracted environmental-services cash flow. Maintaining the long.
Up 7.28% since the last brief with RSI at 67.5 reclaiming the 200-day at $41.32, on stable contracted environmental-services cash flow; maintaining the long.
Up 0.41% with inelastic waste services demand and a neutral RSI of 54.1. Price is ~5% below the 200-day, but 21 analysts target $51.40 for 31.3% upside — continue holding
Position: -0.4% in environmental services, +8.9% on the month with a healthy trend, hold
A steady +9.3% monthly repair — the waste-services defensive holds through a 2% dip
Flat at $39.56, -0.18%. CEO Dovigi is exploring a take-private around $50 — financing is a real question under $7.1B of debt, but the bid talk itself is downside protection. Earnings 7/29; stay long, conviction up.
Up 1.8% to $39.63, the defensive trait clocking in again; holding
Up 0.7% to $38.92 — the waste bills keep getting paid, storms notwithstanding; holding
Down 1.5% to $39.16 — waste-collection cash flow doesn't answer to geopolitics; above the 20-day, holding
Down 0.9% in a mild give-back; structure above the 20-day ($37.40) unchanged — holding
Down 1.9%, a second cooling day at the highs; the waste cash-flow story is in no hurry — revisit below the 20-day ($37.30)
Down 1.5%, cooling from RSI 73; the defensive waste-management cash flows haven't changed — holding, no adds
+2.5%, long +2.5%; waste management strong against the tape, RSI 73 hot — no adds
+8% waste-management on volume above its MAs, RSI 71 hot; +12% month